The previous administration was characterized by surprises and unpredictability, with decisions often incomprehensible. Examples include the Mayan Train project and the ecocidio of the rainforest; suspending the construction of Mexico City’s airport (deemed ‘the stupidest move’ by the New York Post); and Mexicana de Aviación, among others.
In contrast, the current administration appears predictable. No surprises remain, not even positive ones like anti-crime operations that can only be boasted about outside our borders to avoid destabilizing the ruling coalition or triggering internal calls for action from places like Palenque.
Three Delicate Issues
Among predictable matters, three stand out as highly sensitive:
- Budget Cuts to Social Programs: In the budget exercise, social programs face reductions of 50-60%. While not surprising given AMLO’s fiscal tightening from 6% to 3%, reducing or eliminating these benefits could spark social unrest. The impact on Mexican society and economy remains to be seen.
- Judicial Elections’ Mystery: With over 3000 candidates, it’s impossible to assess their curriculum vitae. Known profiles suggest little promise, and unknown candidates might have ties to the government or interest groups. A potential disaster looms, but not unexpected given the hasty reform process.
- Arbitrary Tariffs Threat: Whether facing threats next month or immediate implementation, violating the USMCA, or experiencing reduced U.S. growth due to decreased exports, all scenarios pose challenges. The consequences could ripple down to family income levels.
As anticipated issues unfold, little optimism prevails for this year. Each facet seems poised to worsen, creating a bleak outlook with complex problems and a negative attitude—truly something to lament.
