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Manufacturing Activity in the U.S. Contracts in March Amid Trade Uncertainty

Key Points:

  • The ISM Manufacturing Index, a measure of manufacturing activity in the U.S., fell to 49.0 in March from 50.3 in February.
  • This decline indicates contraction in the sector after two months of growth.
  • The drop below the 50 threshold suggests companies are dealing with uncertainty over President Trump’s proposed tariffs, affecting demand, production, and employment.
  • Aranceles (tariffs) caused delays in new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventory growth.
  • Industry executives expressed concerns about rapidly deteriorating trade conditions due to tariffs and economic uncertainty.

Quotes:

“La actividad manufacturera estadounidense se contrajo tras una expansión marginal en febrero,” said Timothy Fiore, director of ISM surveys.

“Las condiciones comerciales se están ‘deteriorando a un ritmo rápido’, y los aranceles y la incertidumbre económica están haciendo que el entorno comercial actual sea un desafío,” noted another executive in the machinery sector.

Analysts’ Views:

Economists at High Frequency Economics warned that industrial activity could collapse abruptly if tariffs are implemented as threatened, without further delay.